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トップページ市況実況1
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日経225先物オプション実況スレ31067
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0001内田彩
垢版 |
2018/06/13(水) 09:09:48.63
             ____
           ./, - 、, - 、   ̄ ヽ
          ./-┤ 。|。  |――-、 ヽ
           | ヽ`- ○- ´ /  ヽ  |
           | -   |     ―   |  |
           |  ´  |    `ヽ  . |  |ヽ
  ∩      人`、 _  |    _.- ´ | .|  \
  |  ⌒ヽ /  \  ̄ ̄ ̄     ノノ       \
  1      |´      | ̄―--―― ´ヽ     _  /⌒\
  \_   _/-―――.| ( T )      `l     Τ(      )
       ̄       |   ̄        }      | \_/
             | 、--―  ̄|    /
良い歳してラブライブ声優の小宮有紗ちゃんの薄着画像で抜きまくってる哀れな珍カス基地外ニートすずはらみさきち ◆5oR0dKBDzY(爆笑wwwwwwwwwwww
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DfYzwj1UYAEyrsK.jpg#orig.jpg
0601山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:41:53.17ID:K3o3rS7F0
お試し売り、ポジポジ病再発w
0604山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:42:59.08ID:1JgigOrk0
【要人発言】パウエルFRB議長「来年1月から毎回のFOMC終了後に記者会見を行う意向」

これって・・・
0606山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:43:10.76ID:qgOBT750M
どうせここからズルズル下がって逝くんやろ
0607山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:43:11.00ID:PfCwxm560
おい日経しっかりしろパンッパンッ
0608山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:43:20.50ID:y2IaW/ZQ0
無事通過したら、節目越えするかと思ったのに、そうでもなさそう…
0610山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:44:04.28ID:2VGn2fpx0
ガラよ...ガラはまだ戻らんのかっ!
0611山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:44:04.37ID:etVfLrBI0
そもそも22000の時に乗り越えちゃったから今月暴落はそうそう起きないよね…
日銀会合で利上げくらいか?売り豚にチャンスがあるのは
0616山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:45:20.58ID:AHWcm+nhd
アメリカ経済が堅調だからなあ
暴落は起きない
0620山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:45:46.47ID:+ODaffya0
為替突き抜けろよ
0621山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:45:48.32ID:liBADsaDM
金利を上げていけばどこか新興国で大暴落が起きそうなんだが
さてさて
0622山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:45:57.27ID:IHiBaBkg0
are neither pushing the economy up nor trying to restrain it? So we know that we're getting
closer to that neutral level. We don't have an exact sense of how that will be, so the committee
is discussing very actively the questions that you raise, and really, it boils down to a question
of what is appropriate policy, and, you know, you ask how will we know? So I think we'll be very
carefully looking at incoming data on inflation, on financial readings, and on the labor market.
We have to acknowledge that there are always wide uncertainty bands around the level of,
for example, the natural rate of unemployment, but also what is the neutral rate of interest,
what is that rate of interest that pushes neither up nor down, so I think we'll be guided by
incoming data on the economy and try to keep our minds open as we move forward.
0625山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:47:02.52ID:prJdfRPb0
利上げ年4回来たな


さて、これでシナがどう動くか 
0626山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:47:26.83ID:etVfLrBI0
>>619
いやいや大分長いこと上だったんだけど…
これより上は確かに難しそうだけど、十分じゃない?
0628山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:47:44.91ID:IHiBaBkg0
>> HOWARD SCHNEIDER: Hi. Sorry. Howard Schneider with routers. 2.1% above target
for 2.5 years starts to feel like some of the alternate frameworks that have been discussed
here, be it targeting or trying to set expectations higher so that you hit your two. In deciding
how symmetric is too symmetric, what sort of parameters are you using on that front?
>> CHAIRMAN: You know, the -- our target for -- our medium-term objective for inflation
is 2% PCE inflation. We feel that that target has served the economy well, and I'm strongly
committed to it, the committee is strongly committed to it, the sort of barriers to making
a material change to that would be -- would be very high because, again, we think it's
fundamental and we think it's worked. You asked about price-level targeting and that sort
of thing. You know, there are some ideas that sort of take any sedans of the -- cognizance
that the rates are lower, we're near the zero bound, and that could put downward pressure
on inflation expectations if we're going to be down toward the zero lower bound and undermine
the 2% inflation objective, so the idea is to have kind of a makeup. If you're below target for
a while, you have an idea of being above target, and the idea is to enhance the credibility
of that 2% target. This is an idea that's been written about for many years. It's not something
that the committee has looked at seriously. I imagine we will be having discussions about it,
but not something that we have on the calendar right now.
0629山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:47:52.75ID:+ODaffya0
昔の東証について語ろう
場立ちには痺れたな
0631山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:48:25.84ID:AHWcm+nhd
今はアメリカ自体に大きな問題は無いもん
中間選挙もトランプは健闘しそうだし
0635山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:49:44.07ID:prJdfRPb0
この年4回発言は、また忘れた頃に大人が仕掛けそうだな
0636山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:49:49.16ID:AHWcm+nhd
カリアゲ会談を通過した安心感も効いてる
0640山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:50:47.37ID:JoyZFPM00
で,どうやって儲けるか
頭のいいヤツは今必死で考えてるんだろうねぇ
0641山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:50:58.78ID:F+fWBbWSa
期近の屑プット買うのめんどくさい(´・ω・`)

もう9月限12月限買う事にするわ
1万くらい大暴落すれば噴くべ(´・ω・`)
0642山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:51:12.39ID:IHiBaBkg0
>> SAM: Thanks very much. Sam Fleming from the Financial Times. Over the weekend we saw
significant tensions within the G7 in Canada. There is the potential, obviously, for further action
against China right now and retaliatory action from major U.S. trading partners. How big a risk do
you currently see this as being to the United States' economy, and what kind of feedback are
you getting in terms of corporate investment and tensions? Is this something that's beginning
to feature more prominently in your own discussions with major U.S. companies? Thanks.
>> CHAIRMAN: I ought to start by saying that, you know, Congress has assigned us very
important jobs, and, you know, maximum employment, stable prices, we have a role in financial
stability that we share with other agencies. Congress has specifically given authority over
trade to the executive branch, so I wouldn't comment on any specific trade actions. I will say,
of course, we have broad context among business leaders around the country, and the reserve
bank presidents in particular have that, so they report in the beige book and then in person at
the FOMC meeting, and they do come back and they say that concerns about changes in trade
policy are arising, I think it's fair to say, and also you're beginning to hear reports of companies
holding off on making investments and hiring people, so right now we don't see that in the numbers
at all. The economy is very strong, the labor market is strong, growth is strong. We really don't
see it in the numbers. It's just not there, but -- so I would put it, then, as more of a risk.
0643山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:51:15.70ID:K3o3rS7F0
全然落ちねぇ
0645山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:51:30.74ID:+okOFQE50
このあたりのETFはつい昨日まで年内利上げ3回前提だったような・・

BLV/バンガード米国長期債券ETF
VCLT/バンガード米国長期社債ETF
VGLT/バンガード米国長期政府債券ETF
EDV/バンガード超長期米国債ETF
0646山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:51:42.70ID:+ODaffya0
80年代中頃まで東証って手書きで板寄せやってたんだぜ
それを手で入力して電光掲示板に値段が出てた
0649山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:52:08.24ID:AHWcm+nhd
今夜のECBも所詮は外部要因でダウには影響無いな
0650山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:52:12.52ID:Nq6oZpXwd
>>633
中間選挙あるのに?
0652山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:52:45.71ID:8W+D2zVA0
パウエルはユダヤ人じゃないからとんでもない暴落を起こす運命
だがいつかわからない
0653山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:52:59.31ID:qgOBT750M
>>628
うおーマジか
これ本当ならダウ近いうちに二万切るぞ
0656山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:53:24.12ID:IHiBaBkg0
>> STEVE LIESMAN: Steve Liesman, CNBC. Mr. Chairman, you said there's a difference of
opinion among economists, but looking at the longer run GDP growth rates for the members of
the committee, there's not a whole lot of difference. It's 1-8 to 2 or 1-7 to 2, depending how
you count it. Is that showing us that not a single member of the committee, including yourself,
Mr. Chairman, agrees with economists over at the White House that they can achieve long-run
sustained growth rates above or at 3% or higher? Do you believe in that?
>> CHAIRMAN: You know, first of all, that's a reasonable range, I think. It's not that we're
all on the same number, but there are a range of views about potential growth, and there's so
much uncertainty around this. You know, we don't -- the thing about fiscal policy is you don't
have thousands of incidents to -- you know, to -- you don't have big data in a way. You have
very small data. You've got only a few instances here, so you have a lot of uncertainty around
what the effects could be. They could be large. We hope they're large, but I think our approach
is going to be to watch and see and hope that, in fact, we do get significant effects to -- you
know, to potential growth out of the tax bill, and we're just going to have to see.
>> (Off microphone).
>> CHAIRMAN: I think we're looking at a reasonable range of estimates, and we're putting
-- different participants are putting different estimates in, and we're going to be waiting and seeing
0658山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:53:58.69ID:AHWcm+nhd
次の満月あたりが危ないな...
0661山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:54:23.29ID:qgOBT750M
>>642
流石にこれはヤバイだろうな
そらダウも下がるわ
0663山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:54:53.27ID:k+Z5tyT70
前回までのパウL!!
「FRBは市場を助けたり傷つけたりするものではなぁい!!!」
この男らしい発言によって市場は力強く下げたが、今日のパウエルは?
0664山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:55:01.29ID:+ODaffya0
為替がさえないな
これじゃ日経横横だな
0666山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:55:46.87ID:F+fWBbWSa
なんにも玉仕入れてないのに
下げとかマジで止めて〜
0668山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:56:07.80ID:prJdfRPb0
>>646
株式市場も手振り使ってたけど 今でも使ってるのって卸売市場くらいだよな  

あのおっさんどもは何で今でも手振り使ってんだろ?
0669山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:56:15.36ID:AHWcm+nhd
今週の末に安倍支持率がどれだけ回復してるかだな
0670山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:56:24.21ID:IHiBaBkg0
>> DONNA BORAK: Donna BORAK with CNN. You said earlier that it's still a little too early
to declare victory on inflation. I wanted to circle back on a question that was asked at the
initial Press Conference about what is does the fed say in regards to the inflation target
as symmetric? Like, has the committee given any further thought in terms of how comfortable
it would be rising above, whether it goes higher than 2.1, if it reaches 2.2, 2.3, and for how long,
and now that you're planning to hold these regular Press Conferences starting next year, how
do you explain -- how do you plan to explain that to the American people that inflation is not
overrunning?
>> CHAIRMAN: You know, what we've said in our statement of longer-run principles and
monetary policy strategy is that the committee would be concerned if inflation were to run
persistently above or below 2%, persistently above or below 2%, and that's what we mean by
symmetric. We're looking at it equally on either side, and it's a matter of persistent overruns.
We know that inflation is going to bounce around. For example, as I mentioned, later this summer
there's a good chance that headline inflation will move up above 2% because of oil prices.
Things buffet inflation back and forth, but -- so we acknowledge that, we understand that,
and if inflation were to persistently run above or below 2%, then we would be using our tools to
try to move inflation back in the direction of the target. We do understand, though, that we don't
have the ability to precisely hit that target, so we expect that inflation will be above or below,
and we just hope that that happens on a symmetric basis.
0671ドル円の人 ◆lODgTgypIc
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2018/06/14(木) 03:56:27.60ID:UYlZ8k2D0
ふぉーまっく は ゼンモ
0674山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:56:54.44ID:FHAWxqnq0
>>661
グーグル翻訳しても何がなんでもインフレ2%やるぞ程度しかわからん。
何がヤバいん?
0675山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:56:58.64ID:8ffQNmI/0
日経は外人の年初からの売り越しがまだ半分くらいしか買い戻せてないしょ、そこそこ粘るじゃないか
0680山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:57:56.90ID:IHiBaBkg0
>> MARTY CRUTSINGER: Marty, associated press. At this meeting, you hiked the funds rate,
you changed the dot plot to move from 3 to 4 for this year, and you took out a sentence that
you had been using for years about how long rates might stay low, but you say that none of
this signals a change in policy views. But shouldn't we see from this combination of things
that the Fed is moving to a tighter policy?
>> CHAIRMAN: I think what you should see is that the economy is continuing to make
progress. The economy has strengthenened so much since I joined the Fed, you know, in
2012 and even over the last couple of years. The economy's in a very different place.
Unemployment was 10% at the height of the crisis, 3.8% now and moving lower, so really,
what you -- the decision you see today is another sign that the U.S. economy is in great
shape. Growth is strong, labor markets are strong, inflation is close to target, and that's
what you're seeing. For many years, as I mentioned, many years we had interest rates
held low to support economic activity, and it's been clear that as we've gotten closer to
our statutory goals, we should normalize policy, and that's really what we've been consistently
doing for some years now.
0681山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:57:59.77ID:AHWcm+nhd
22,929
日経平均CFD
今日は23000乗せるな...
0682山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:58:05.21ID:qgOBT750M
>>674
いや何か雰囲気的に
0684山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:58:30.77ID:fnDDpvjd0
>>661
The economy is very strong, the labor market is strong, growth is strong.

これくらいなら訳せるやろ?
0685山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:58:32.73ID:+ODaffya0
アフリカの証券取引所って今も手書きでやってるのかな
0686山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:58:34.31ID:FHAWxqnq0
>>671
先物チャート的にはどこにふぉーまっくがあったかもわからんw
セクスィヨコヨコ
0688山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:59:06.76ID:AHWcm+nhd
おはよう観るか
0690山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 03:59:20.16ID:FHAWxqnq0
>>682
良いと思います。その感性に俺もついていくわ
0693山師さん@トレード中
垢版 |
2018/06/14(木) 04:00:17.12ID:IHiBaBkg0
>> HEATHER LONG: Heather long from the Washington Post. Can you give us an update on
what the FOMC think business wages, are we finally going to see that wage growth pick up this
year? I know you're forecasting a little bit more inflation, but is that going to translate through
to wage growth?
>> CHAIRMAN: You know, wages have been gradually moving up Erle. Earlier in the recovery,
they were -- there are many different wage measures, of course, but just to generalize, wages were
running roughly around 2%, and they've moved gradually up between 2% to 3% as the labor market has
become stronger and stronger. I think it's fair to say that some of us -- and I certainly would have
expected wages to react more to the very significant reduction in unemployment that we've had, as
I mentioned, from 10% to 3.8%. Part of that can be explained by low productivity, which is something
we've talked about at the committee and elsewhere, but nonetheless, I think we had anticipated and
many people have anticipated that wages -- in a world where we're hearing lots and lots about labor
shortages, everywhere we go now we hear about labor shortages, but where's the wage reaction,
so it's a bit of a puzzle. I wouldn't say it's a miss industry, but it's a bit of a puzzle, and, frankly, I do
think there's a lot to like about low unemployment, and one of the things is you will see pretty much
people who want to get jobs -- not everybody, but people who want to get jobs, many of them will
be able to get jobs. You will see wages go up. You'll see people at the -- sort of the margins of the
labor force having an opportunity to get back and work. They benefit from that, society benefits
from that, so there are a lot of things to really like, including higher wages, as you asked.
Our role, though, is also to -- you know, to make sure that maximum employment happens in
a context of price stability and financial stability, which is why we're gradually raising rates.
0695山師さん@トレード中
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2018/06/14(木) 04:00:52.27ID:qgOBT750M
>>684

┐(´・ω・`)┌
0698山師さん@トレード中
垢版 |
2018/06/14(木) 04:00:59.52ID:AHWcm+nhd
次の9月の利上げもこんな感じで乗り切るんだろうな
■ このスレッドは過去ログ倉庫に格納されています

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